Antioch, CA Real Estate Insights – March 2025

What Real Estate Professionals Need to Know Now

The Antioch, CA real estate market continues to evolve, presenting unique opportunities for buyers and sellers alike. As we enter March 2025, understanding the latest market conditions, pricing shifts, and inventory trends is essential for making informed decisions. Whether you're assisting clients in buying or selling a home, this report provides actionable insights, key market data, and strategic messaging that will help maximize success in the current real estate environment.

This report is designed for Real Estate Professionals, investors, and homeowners who want to stay ahead of the market. We’ll break down key data, analyze the shifts over the past year, and provide exclusive Buyer and Seller Scores to help you understand who holds the leverage in today’s market.

Market Overview

Antioch’s market remains more affordable than many Bay Area cities, attracting first-time buyers and investors. While home prices continue to appreciate, the growth rate has slowed due to affordability concerns and higher mortgage rates.

Current Market Conditions (March 2025)

  • Median Home Price: $590,000 (+1.7% YoY)

  • Price per Square Foot: $340 (+2.2% YoY)

  • Homes Sold (Last 30 Days): ~60

  • Average Days on Market (DOM): ~35 days

  • List-to-Sale Price Ratio: ~97.2% (homes selling slightly below asking price)

  • Months of Inventory (MOI): 2.5 months (indicating a balanced to slight buyer’s market)

Current Market Trends

  • Mortgage Rate Adjustments: Interest rates have declined slightly (~6.75%), increasing buyer activity.

  • Seasonal Activity: The spring market is bringing renewed buyer interest, though inventory levels remain tight.

  • Slower Sales in Higher Price Ranges: Homes above $700K are taking longer to sell (~45 days) due to higher borrowing costs.

  • More Negotiation Power for Buyers: About 20% of listings have price reductions before selling, giving buyers leverage.

Top 3 Takeaways for Real Estate Professionals

Buyers Have More Negotiating Power: With a list-to-sale ratio of 97.2%, buyers can secure properties at slightly lower prices, particularly in higher price ranges.

Affordability Remains Key: Antioch continues to be one of the more affordable cities in Contra Costa County, making it an attractive alternative to pricier markets like Walnut Creek and Pleasant Hill.

Sellers Must Be Strategic: While demand remains steady, overpricing can result in longer days on market and price reductions.

Buyer & Seller Scores – March 2025

Buyer Score: 55/100

Seller Score: 65/100

Buyer Score Analysis (55/100)

The Buyer Score of 55 suggests that buyers have gained some leverage compared to previous years, though the market still slightly favors sellers. Here’s why:

  • Lower mortgage rates are bringing more buyers back into the market.

  • Price reductions on ~20% of listings provide room for negotiation.

  • Longer Days on Market (35 days) means buyers have more time to make decisions.

Seller Score Analysis (65/100)

The Seller Score of 65 indicates that sellers still have an advantage, but it's not as strong as it was in peak years. Key factors include:

  • Inventory remains tight, keeping demand steady.

  • Homes under $600K are selling faster, with competitive offers.

  • Higher-priced homes ($700K+) are sitting longer, requiring price adjustments.

Outlook for 2025 and Beyond

Future Projections for Buyers and Sellers

  • Prices Expected to Increase Slightly: Antioch home values will likely rise 1.5% - 3.0% over the next 12 months, driven by moderate demand and affordability constraints.

  • Mortgage Rates May Dip Further: Experts predict rates could drop to ~6.25% by late 2025, further boosting buyer interest.

  • Inventory Will Remain Limited: With no major shifts in new construction, supply constraints will persist, keeping sellers in a relatively strong position.

What This Means for Buyers: Now is a great time to leverage price reductions and negotiate better terms before competition picks up.

What This Means for Sellers: The market is still in your favor, but pricing competitively is critical to avoid extended days on market.

Future Projections

Price Outlook

Antioch’s prices are likely to remain volatile through early 2025, with slight declines anticipated in response to market caution. Sellers must price strategically to attract competitive offers.

Inventory Forecast

Inventory is expected to remain steady, with the potential for tightening if new listings slow in Q1 2025.

Interest Rate Impact

Stable interest rates currently support buyer demand. However, any increases in early 2025 may lead to reduced affordability, influencing pricing trends.

💬Utilizing This Content – Messaging for Social Media & Client Outreach

3 Key Messages for Real Estate Professionals

📢 "Buyers Are Gaining an Edge! With price reductions on 20% of listings, now is a great time to secure a deal before rates drop again!"

📢 "Sellers: Smart Pricing Wins! While demand remains steady, homes priced correctly are selling faster and at stronger terms."

📢 "Spring Market is Here! With mortgage rates stabilizing and inventory still low, now is the perfect time to buy or sell."

The Antioch real estate market remains balanced with opportunities for both buyers and sellers. While sellers still hold some leverage, buyers have more room to negotiate than in previous years.

📌 Action Steps:

🏡 Buyers: Secure financing and negotiate better terms while rates remain stable. 🏡 Sellers: Price competitively to attract strong offers and reduce time on market.

For expert guidance in Antioch’s market, contact Pacific Residential Partners today.

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