Walnut Creek, CA Real Estate Insights – March 2025

What Real Estate Professionals Need to Know Now

Walnut Creek, CA, remains one of the East Bay’s most desirable real estate markets. With its top-rated schools, vibrant downtown, and excellent transit access to San Francisco, it continues to attract families, professionals, and retirees alike.

As we enter March 2025, staying informed about market trends, buyer and seller advantages, and future projections is critical for making well-informed real estate decisions. Whether you’re assisting a client in buying or selling, this report provides actionable insights, key market data, and strategic messaging to help you navigate the market effectively.

This report is designed for Real Estate Professionals, investors, and homeowners looking to stay ahead of trends. We’ll analyze market trends, year-over-year changes, and exclusive Buyer and Seller Scores to understand the leverage in today’s market.


Market Overview

Walnut Creek continues to experience strong buyer demand and limited inventory, keeping home prices on a steady upward trend. While competition has softened slightly compared to 2021–2022, sellers still hold a distinct advantage in most price ranges.

Current Market Conditions (March 2025)

  • Median Home Price: $1,250,000 (+3.8% YoY)

  • Price per Square Foot: $670 (+4.2% YoY)

  • Homes Sold (Last 30 Days): ~30

  • Average Days on Market (DOM): ~23 days

  • List-to-Sale Price Ratio: ~99.7% (homes selling near or slightly above asking price)

  • Months of Inventory (MOI): 1.7 months (indicating a seller’s market)

Current Market Trends

  • Mortgage Rate Adjustments: Interest rates have eased slightly (~6.75%), improving affordability and bringing more buyers back into the market.

  • High Demand in Key Neighborhoods: Areas like Saranap, Northgate, and Parkmead remain highly desirable, especially for homes priced between $900K–$1.5M.

  • Luxury Market Slower: Properties above $2M are taking longer to sell (~45 days) due to affordability constraints and jumbo loan requirements.

  • Sustainable Price Growth: Unlike the rapid appreciation of 2020-2022, home prices are now increasing at a more sustainable and steady rate.

Buyer & Seller Scores – March 2025

Buyer Score: 48/100

Seller Score: 76/100

Buyer Score Analysis (48/100)

The Buyer Score of 48 reflects a market where buyers have slightly more leverage than in previous years, yet sellers still hold the advantage. Here’s why:

  • Mortgage rates have eased slightly, making financing more accessible.

  • More listings are available, but inventory levels are still below pre-pandemic norms.

  • Competition remains high for homes in the $900K-$1.2M range, leading to multiple-offer situations.

Seller Score Analysis (76/100)

The Seller Score of 76 indicates that sellers remain in a strong position, though the market is not as overheated as in prior years. Key factors include:

  • Inventory remains low, supporting home price stability.

  • Well-priced homes continue to attract competitive offers, though bidding wars are less intense.

  • Luxury homes are selling more slowly, requiring strategic pricing and marketing.

Top 3 Takeaways for Real Estate Professionals

Sellers Still Hold the Upper Hand: With only 1.7 months of inventory, homes that are strategically priced continue to attract strong interest and competitive offers.

Buyers in the Luxury Market Have an Advantage: High-end homes ($2M+) are seeing longer days on market, providing room for negotiation and favorable terms.

Spring Market Surge Expected: The seasonal increase in buyer activity is expected to heighten competition in the coming months, especially in price ranges under $1.5M.

Outlook for 2025 and Beyond

Future Projections for Buyers and Sellers

  • Prices Expected to Increase Modestly: Home values are projected to rise 2.5% - 4.0% over the next 12 months, driven by low inventory and steady demand.

  • Mortgage Rates Could Drop Further: Analysts predict rates could decline to ~6.25% by late 2025, which may increase buyer competition.

  • Inventory Constraints Persist: With limited new construction, sellers will likely retain the upper hand in the near future.

What This Means for Buyers: Act before rates decrease further, as increased affordability could drive more competition.

What This Means for Sellers: Now remains an optimal time to list, as home values remain high and demand is steady.

💬 Utilizing This Content – Messaging for Social Media & Client Outreach

3 Key Messages for Real Estate Professionals

📢 "Spring Market is Heating Up! Low inventory and stabilizing mortgage rates mean competition is picking up. If you’re thinking of buying or selling, let’s strategize NOW!"

📢 "Luxury Homes Are Taking Longer to Sell! Buyers in the $2M+ range have more negotiating power—if you’re in the market for a high-end home, this could be your best opportunity."

📢 "Sellers: The Market is Still in Your Favor! With inventory remaining tight, you have an edge. Pricing strategically can help you maximize your sale—let’s discuss your options!"

📌 Action Steps

🏡 Buyers: Secure financing and take action before mortgage rates drop further, increasing competition. 🏡 Sellers: List now while demand is strong and before more inventory enters the market.

For expert guidance on buying or selling in Walnut Creek, contact Pacific Residential Partners today.

📍 Visit www.findebhomes.com for real-time market insights and professional support.


Additional Resources:

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